24 April 2024

Manufacturing Grows At Fastest Pace In Two Years

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U.S. manufacturing grew last month at its fastest pace in more than two years, with the Institute for Supply Management's (ISM) index at its highest level since June 2011.

The index shows national factory activity rising to 55.7 in August from 55.4 the prior month, which beat expectations for 54. A measurement over 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector.

This data suggests the U.S. economy is gaining traction and may spur the Federal Reserve to begin tapering the bond-buying program soon.

New manufacturing orders also reported their best levels in more than two years. The reading for new orders minus inventories, a way to determine so-called final demand, showed its highest level in more than three years, as well. That measure of demand has now risen for three straight months, potentially adding more evidence to support a Fed pullback in bond buying.

Even with positive reports on manufacturing, the Fed is closely watching unemployment data. The goals is to end the bond-buying program when unemployment is at 7.0 percent with the ultimate goal of seeing unemployment at 6.5 percent. Currently, unemployment is at 7.4 percent.  

The Fed is currently buying $85 billion per month in Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, but policymakers have hinted at exiting from the strategy as the U.S. economy grows strong enough to stand on its own. A stronger U.S. economy could get the Fed to start the bond-buying program as soon as the next board meeting on September 17th and 18th.
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