28 April 2024

China's 401(k) May See Vast Growth

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China's enterprise annuity program, the local version of a 401(k), could be poised to see growth in combined retirement assets under management from less than 600 billion RMB ($98 billion) last year to 4 trillion RMB ($653 billion) or more by 2020 as a result of tax incentives announced in December, according to analysts. Such growth would make it the second biggest supplementary corporate pension market in Asia after Japan.Beginning in January 2014, employers may take tax deductions for contributions to enterprise annuities of up to 8.33% of their total salary outlays for the prior year, while individual income taxes on employee contributions to company plans of up to 4% of wages would be deferred until the point when retirement funds are drawn down.

In the absence of tax incentives, those plans “were not very attractive and the participation ratio remained relatively low,” noted Ivan Shi, head of research for Z-Ben Advisors, a Shanghai-based consultant on investment management business opportunities in China.

Currently, less than 20 million employees in China are participating in enterprise annuity plans, out of an urban working population of 158 million.

That favorable tax treatment introduced in January “removes a major barrier to the development of (enterprise annuities) in China,” according to a December report by PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP.

Combined with an expansion of permissible investments last year, the latest enhancements have given enterprise annuities “the necessary tools to meet surging demand on the mainland for attractive pension options,” agreed Z-Ben in a December report.

The recent move by the government to strengthen China's retirement system have left enterprise annuities “primed to finally live up to expectations” as that system's “second pillar,” complementing the country's national pension coverage and private savings, Z-Ben said.

The flourishing of that retirement “pillar” could help put the country's fund management companies on firmer footing, at a moment when a stubborn bear market for large-cap domestic equities since 2009 has found many firms turning to riskier business segments — securitizing assets from their bank and securities company owners — for the bulk of their growth.

For now though, any surge in enterprise annuity assets will be a boon mainly to China's biggest domestic fund management firms, which snared the bulk of the licenses issued by regulators between 2005 and 2007 needed to manage money for corporate plans.

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